Category: Corona Virus

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Hoping Llamas Will Become Coronavirus Heroes – The New York Times

May 7, 2020

Winter is a 4-year-old chocolate-colored llama with spindly legs, ever-so-slightly askew ears and envy-inducing eyelashes. Some scientists hope she might be an important figure in the fight against the novel coronavirus.

She is not a superpowered camelid. Winter was simply the lucky llama chosen by researchers in Belgium, where she lives, to participate in a series of virus studies involving both SARS and MERS. Finding that her antibodies staved off those infections, the scientists posited that those same antibodies could also neutralize the new virus that causes Covid-19. They were right, and published their results Tuesday in the journal Cell.

Scientists have long turned to llamas for antibody research. In the last decade, for example, scientists have used llamas antibodies in H.I.V. and influenza research, finding promising therapies for both viruses.

Humans produce only one kind of antibody, made of two types of protein chains heavy and light that together form a Y shape. Heavy-chain proteins span the entire Y, while light-chain proteins touch only the Ys arms. Llamas, on the other hand, produce two types of antibodies. One of those antibodies is similar in size and constitution to human antibodies. But the other is much smaller; its only about 25 percent the size of human antibodies. The llamas antibody still forms a Y, but its arms are much shorter because it doesnt have any light-chain proteins.

This more diminutive antibody can access tinier pockets and crevices on spike proteins the proteins that allow viruses like the novel coronavirus to break into host cells and infect us that human antibodies cannot. That can make it more effective in neutralizing viruses.

Llamas antibodies are also easily manipulated, said Dr. Xavier Saelens, a molecular virologist at Ghent University in Belgium and an author of the new study. They can be linked or fused with other antibodies, including human antibodies, and remain stable despite those manipulations.

This antibody is a genetic characteristic llamas share with all camelids, the family of mammals that also includes alpacas, guanacos and dromedaries.

Sharks have these smaller antibodies, too, but they are not a great experimental model, and are a lot less cuddly than llamas, said Daniel Wrapp, a graduate student affiliated with the University of Texas at Austin and Dartmouth College, and a co-author of the new research. Dr. Saelens said that llamas are domesticated, easy to handle and less stubborn than many of their camelid cousins, although, if they dont like you, theyll spit.

In 2016, Dr. Saelens, Mr. Wrapp and Dr. Jason McLellan, a structural virologist at the University of Texas at Austin, and other researchers looked to llamas and, specifically, Winter to find a smaller llama antibody that could broadly neutralize many different types of coronavirus, Dr. McLellan said.

They injected Winter with spike proteins from the virus that caused the 2002-03 SARS epidemic as well as MERS, then tested a sample of her blood. And while they couldnt isolate a single llama antibody that worked against both viruses, they found two potent antibodies that each fought separately against MERS and SARS.

The researchers were writing up their findings when the new coronavirus began to make headlines in January. They immediately realized that the smaller llama antibodies that could neutralize SARS would very likely also recognize the Covid-19 virus, Dr. Saelens said.

It did, the researchers found, effectively inhibiting the coronavirus in cell cultures.

The researchers are hopeful the antibody can eventually be used as a prophylactic treatment, by injecting someone who is not yet infected to protect them from the virus, such as a health care worker. While the treatments protection would be immediate, its effects wouldnt be permanent, lasting only a month or two without additional injections.

This proactive approach is at least several months away, but the researchers are moving toward clinical trials. Additional studies may also be needed to verify the safety of injecting a llamas antibodies into human patients.

There is still a lot of work to do to try to bring this into the clinic, Dr. Saelens said. If it works, llama Winter deserves a statue.

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Hoping Llamas Will Become Coronavirus Heroes - The New York Times

Coronavirus survivors banned from joining the military – Military Times

May 7, 2020

As the Defense Department negotiates its way through the coronavirus pandemic and its fallout, military entrance processing stations are working with new guidance when it comes to bringing COVID-19 survivors into the services.

A past COVID-19 diagnosis is a no-go for processing, according to a recently released MEPCOM memo circulating on Twitter.

During the medical history interview or examination, a history of COVID-19, confirmed by either a laboratory test or a clinician diagnosis, is permanently disqualifying ... the memo reads.

The memo is authentic, Pentagon spokeswoman Jessica Maxwell confirmed to Military Times.

Specifically, it lays out guidelines for MEPS staff to deal with potential, as well as confirmed, coronavirus cases. That starts with screening at all MEPS, which includes taking a temperature and answering questions about symptoms and potential contact.

If an applicant fails screening, according to the memo, they wont be tested, but they can return in 14 days if theyre symptom-free. Anyone who has been diagnosed with COVID-19 will have to wait until 28 days after diagnosis to report to MEPS.

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Upon return, a diagnosis will be marked as permanently disqualifying for accession. Recruits can apply for waivers for all permanently disqualifying conditions, including surviving COVID-19. However, without any further guidance for exceptions dealing with COVID-19, a review authority would have no justification to grant a waiver.

Maxwell declined to explain why a coronavirus diagnosis would be permanently disqualifying, compared to other viral, non-chronic illnesses that do not preclude military service.

However, given the limited research on COVID-19, there are likely a few factors that military medical professionals are trying to hash out when it comes to recruiting survivors: Whether respiratory damage from the virus is long-lasting or permanent, and whether that can be assessed; the likelihood of recurring flare-ups, even if someone has had two consecutive negative tests; and the possibility that one bout of COVID-19 might not provide full immunity for the future, and could potentially leave someone at a higher risk to contract it again, perhaps with worse complications.

The move comes as the services prepare for a surge of post-graduation recruits during the summer and fall high season.

In recent weeks, new trainees have been 100-percent tested for COVID-19 before starting training. So far, clusters have been discovered at Fort Jackson, South Carolina, and Marine Corps Recruit Depot San Diego, the Army and Marine Corps biggest initial entry training installations.

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Coronavirus survivors banned from joining the military - Military Times

Florida released a list of coronavirus deaths. But key information is blacked out – Tampa Bay Times

May 7, 2020

After weeks of withholding it from public disclosure, state officials on Wednesday released the list of coronavirus deaths being compiled by Floridas medical examiners.

But the document was redacted to remove the probable cause of death and the description of each case.

The omissions make the list meaningless, said Dr. Stephen Nelson, the chairman of the state Medical Examiners Commission.

You have to take the word from the government that these are deaths related to COVID-19, said Nelson, who is also the chief medical examiner for Polk, Highlands and Hardee counties.

It loses transparency, he said.

The list never included the names of the dead, which many experts and medical examiners have said is also public in Florida.

The move came several hours after attorneys for a coalition of media organizations, including the Tampa Bay Times, sent a letter demanding the state release the information.

As of early last month, the list was being released as it was updated. The Times used it to report on April 11 that the states official count of deaths, produced by the Florida Department of Health, was about 10 percent lower than the medical examiners count.

After the Times story was published, health department officials called the Florida Department of Law Enforcement, which houses the medical examiners commission, the Times reported last week.

After that, the Department of Law Enforcement decided to redact the list.

The version released Wednesday showed the states count is now higher than the medical examiners.

It was unclear why especially given the mechanics of how coronavirus deaths are being tracked.

Under Florida law, medical examiners are responsible for certifying every coronavirus death in the state. The health department has been verifying deaths independently by having epidemiologists follow up on every case.

Whats more, the health department has said it is only including Florida residents in its count, although after the Times report it began posting some data on non-resident deaths in feeds online.

The medical examiners are counting anyone who died in Florida, including snowbirds and visitors.

By their own admission, they are not counting every Florida death, Nelson said. Im surprised that they are ahead.

The states official count is now 3.3 percent higher than the medical examiners. The data feed that includes non-resident deaths shows a count that is 7.8 percent higher.

After this story was published online, state health department spokesman Alberto Moscoso explained the discrepancy by saying the health department reports cases where the individual tested positive for COVID-19 and subsequently died, while Medical Examiners report deaths that they have directly attributed to COVID-19.

"For example, if an individual tests positive for COVID-19 and then dies as a result of an accident, that case would be included in the Departments list of deaths associated with COVID-19," he said.

He added: It is not true that deaths have been hidden.

It was also unclear why state officials needed 16 days to redact the list. They drew a black box over two of the columns and said the list was generated five hours before it was released.

In withholding those columns, state Department of Law Enforcement officials cited two state laws that exempt certain records from public disclosure. One of the laws exempts the cause of death on death certificates. The other exempts patient records kept by hospitals.

In the letter demanding the records be made public, Carol Jean LoCicero, an attorney for the coalition of media organizations, said no redaction was necessary because the list contains only public information. LoCicero also represents the Times.

Barbara Petersen, president emeritus of the First Amendment Foundation, said neither of the exemptions cited by the state applies to medical examiners records.

Every exemption under the public records law has to be strictly construed and narrowly applied, she said. We are not talking about death certificates. We are not talking about patient records.

Petersen pointed out that other state agencies have withheld coronavirus-related information most prominently the names of which nursing homes had infections, which wasnt released until the consortium of news organizations moved to sue.

The governor and his administration are obfuscating, she said. They are withholding critically important information from the public.

Medical examiners in Florida have been compiling a list of deaths in every statewide emergency since Hurricane Andrew in 1992. The states 22 offices send information on their investigations to the Medical Examiners Commission to be included on a master list.

Nelson said the lists have always been made available to the public without redactions.

Both the health department and the law enforcement department acknowledged having conferred on privacy concerns related to the coronavirus list. But Moscoso said the health department didnt give any formal direction.

Last month, the Miami Herald reported that the health department had reached out to the Miami-Dade County Medical Examiner Office and asked it to withhold its death records from the media. The Miami-Dade County attorney released the records anyway, saying she believed they were public records.

Through a series of public records requests last week, Times reporters were able to obtain spreadsheets detailing coronavirus deaths or copies of the investigative reports from 18 of Floridas 22 medical examiner offices. Those records included the names of the dead.

Nelson pointed out that the Medical Examiners Commission list provided less information than that.

Individual offices can provide the names of the dead but this silly Excel spreadsheet is somehow sacrosanct? he said. It boggles my mind.

Mark Caramanica, an attorney representing the coalition of news organizations, said his office was pleased FDLE released this critical information but is reviewing (the states) continued withholding of certain portions of the database that have been previously made public.

Floridians deserve maximum transparency about COVID-19 deaths in our state, he said.

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Florida released a list of coronavirus deaths. But key information is blacked out - Tampa Bay Times

The race is on for antibodies that stop the new coronavirus – Science Magazine

May 7, 2020

An antibody (orange) bound to the surface spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 can block infection.

By Jon CohenMay. 5, 2020 , 6:10 PM

Sciences COVID-19 reporting is supported by the Pulitzer Center.

One of the first people to be diagnosed with COVID-19 in the United States hopes a legacy of her nightmarethe antibodies it left in her bloodwill lead to a drug that can help others infected with the novel coronavirus that has now killed more than 250,000 people worldwide.

Early this year, the woman had just learned of the outbreak in Wuhan, China, when she flew to Beijing to celebrate the Lunar New Year with her elderly parents and extended family. A brother from Wuhan joined the gathering on 23 January, catching one of the last flights out before the city went into lockdown. Days later, her father developed a fever, but the family wasnt concerned. My dad always has some fever in the winter, says the woman, a researcher who asked to be called Dr. X to protect her privacy.

On 28 January, her brother also developed a fever.

The next day, on her scheduled flight home, a nervous Dr. X wore a mask, brought disinfectant wipes and cleaned everything she touched, and didnt accept any food or drinks from flight attendants. I treated myself as a potential infectious source.

Her husband picked her up at the airport, wearing a mask. With the car windows rolled down, they drove to an emergency room to request a coronavirus test. I didnt have a fever, so they didnt really take me seriously, she says. But coincidentally, her brother texted as she waited to be seen: He had COVID-19. So she received a test. Days later, after she quarantined herself, developed mild COVID-19 symptoms, and then rebounded,, the result came back positive.

By then, her brother and father had both been hospitalized. The brother recovered after 12 days, but her father, a retired scientist in his 80s, went from a ventilator to extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, an artificial lung of sorts. The novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, ultimately infected all seven family members who had gathered for the New Year celebration.

Dr. X could not help her sick family members, but her eagerness to do something grew. She knew that in China, plasma from recovered people, which contains antibodies to the virus, was showing promise as a treatment. Her doctor told her about a project, a collaboration between Vanderbilt University and AstraZeneca, to develop something safer and more powerful. It aims to go beyond the mishmash of antibodies in convalescent plasma and pull out the equivalent of a guided missile: an antibody that neutralizes the infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 by binding to the so-called spike protein that enables it to enter human cells. Once one or several neutralizing antibodies have been identified, antibody-producing B cells can be engineered to make them in quantity. These so-called monoclonal antibodies could treat or even prevent COVID-19.

The Vanderbilt-AstraZeneca team is far from the only group trying to identify or engineer monoclonals against SARS-CoV-2. Unlike the many repurposed drugs now being tested in COVID-19 patients, including the modestly effective remdesivir, the immune proteins specifically target this virus. Whereas some groups hope to sieve a neutralizing antibody (a neut) from the blood of a survivor like Dr. X, others are trying to produce a neut in mice by injecting them with the spike protein. Still others aim to re-engineer an existing antibody or even create one directly from DNA sequences.

Many researchers are optimistic that antibodies will, relatively quickly, prove their worth as a preventive or remedy that buys the world time until a vaccine arrivesif it does. Weve got at least 50and probably more we dont know aboutcompanies and academic labs that are all racing horses, says immunologist Erica Ollmann Saphire of the La Jolla Institute for Immunology, who leads an effort to coordinate and evaluate these candidates. Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, which developed a cocktail of three monoclonal antibodies that worked against the Ebola virusa notoriously difficult disease to treatmay be out of the gates first with a candidate monoclonal drug entering clinical trials as soon as next month.

The receptor-binding domain (top) at the tip of SARS-CoV-2s spike protein can be blockedby antibodies targeting several different areas (colors).

Saphire says many questions remain. We need a sense of the landscape: What are the most effective antibodies against this virus? If we need a cocktail of two, what is the most effective combination? she asks. And you might want a very different kind of antibody to prevent infection versus treating an established one.

John Mascola, an immunologist at the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), adds that antibodies may also have nonneutralizing, immune-boosting properties. The field doesnt know very much about protective immunity to SARS-CoV-2, Mascola says. So theres a little bit of scientific guesswork here.

On a practical level, monoclonals are relatively difficult to make and administer; they have to be given by intravenous drip or injected, and they have traditionally been high-cost, niche medicines available mainly in wealthy countries. Monoclonals may well have a very important role, says Jeremy Farrar, head of the Wellcome Trust charity and an infectious disease specialist. The big questions will be the capacity to manufacture at scale, distribute, and the cost.

On 7 March, Dr. X visited the Vanderbilt lab led by James Crowe to donate blood. I couldnt really help my dad, the woman says. It was too late. So I want to make sure that fewer people have to go through what my family has gone through.

Her father died 9 days later.

Although monoclonal antibodies to treat cancer and autoimmune diseases are a booming business, few for infectious diseases have come to market so far. One prevents respiratory syncytial virus in infants, two prevent and treat anthrax, and another helps HIV-infected people whom standard drugs have failed. But Regenerons monoclonal cocktail for Ebola offers an example of their power. It proved its worth in a study conducted in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) last year and could be approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration within 6 months. And a single monoclonal antibody developed by an NIAID team that included Mascola thwarted Ebolavirus in the same DRC study. No other treatmentsincluding drugs and convalescent plasmahad worked against Ebola.

Treating millions of people worldwide with a monoclonal isnt far-fetched, Crowe says. In the past, fully human antibodies were difficult to isolate and expensive to produce, he notes. But its getting easier and cheaper. In the next 5 years, antibodies will become the principal tool used as a medical countermeasure in the event of an epidemic, he predicts.

First, however, Crowe and others need to find potent monoclonals against SARS-CoV-2. It generally takes several weeks before an infected persons B cells begin to pump out neuts. Because of the lag. Crowes teamone of four funded by the Pentagons Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) to discover monoclonals for emerging infectious threatssought out the first people in the United States to have confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections, including Dr. X. The team isolated antibody-producing B cells from their volunteers and used the spike protein, linked to a magnetic bead, as bait for the tiny percentage that produce neuts against SARS-CoV-2.

A bioreactor like this one at AstraZeneca may soon churn out antibodies against the virus that causes COVID-19.

When they initially bled Dr. X, some 6 weeks after she became infected, those special B cells were only faintly detectable. En route to the airport on a Sunday morning to fly home from Nashville, Dr. X stopped in the lab for yet another bleed, and they finally struck gold.

A second DARPA-funded group, Canadas AbCellera Biologics, uses a version of spike that Mascola and co-workers carefully engineered as neut bait. To isolate single B cells, the AbCellera group places copies of this spike in 200,000 fluid-filled chambers in a device the size of a credit card. From the blood of an early U.S. COVID-19 case in Seattle who had severe disease, AbCellera initially found 500 candidate antibodies against spike. The company whittled them down to 24 leads, selecting those that retain their shape when mass produced and stick longest to the viral protein. (Antibodies bounce on and off their targets.)

Regeneron has also bled recovered COVID-19 patients, but it is trying an alternative strategy as well: injecting spike into mice equipped with human genes for antibody production. From a pool of human- and mouse-derived antibodies, the company plans to select two that neutralize a broad range of SARS-CoV-2 variants. Regeneron is aiming for a pair of antibodies that bind to nonoverlapping sites on the spike, too, says Christos Kyratsous, vice president of research at Regeneron. This type of antibody cocktail provides an insurance policy against the emergence of mutant strains of SARS-CoV-2 that resist the treatment. Its unlikely that both sites [on spike] are going to change at the same time, Kyratsous says.

Although Regeneron designed a three-antibody cocktail for Ebola, Kyratsous says the company decided to limit its COVID-19 cocktail for both practical and strategic reasons. The more antibodies needed, the more difficult the manufacturing issues, and the higher the price. And the likely Achilles heel of the spike, a region at its tip known as the receptor-binding domain (RBD), is so small that a third antibody might be wasted. It can accommodate about two antibodies independently of each other, Kyratsous says.

AstraZeneca, in addition to screening blood from recovered patients and spike-injected mice, is sifting through a massive library of essentially random antibodies created with a method involving viruses called phages. Most groups assume that effective antibodies must target RBD. But Mark Esser, an AstraZeneca vice president, says, We have found interesting antibodies that bind to other parts of the spike protein.. Mene Pangalos, AstraZenecas executive vice president of pharmaceutical R&D, says they, too, want to make a cocktail. And it may end up being a cocktail that includes other companies antibodies.

Research groups are also searching for clues from coronavirus diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome. Vir Biotechnology, for example, has found an antibody in a recovered SARS survivor from 2003 that neutralizes SARS-CoV-2. This antibody binds to a region of the RBD that is highly conserved between the two coronaviruses, its researchers report in a preprint posted online on bioRxiv on 9 April. The company went on to modify the antibody to make it more potent. One modification slows the antibody degradation to give it a longer effective life; another improves the so-called vaccinal effect, which summons T cellsanother arm of the immune systemto help destroy infected cells.

Jacob Glanville, an immunologist and computer scientist who runs Distributed Bio, has designed neuts for SARS-CoV-2 in a computer, drawing on genetic sequences and structures of ones known to thwart the SARS virus in cells and even mice. Im basically able to get a freebie ride on [past] research in a very brief period, Glanville says.

With molecular modeling software, Glanville mutated the antibodies to the SARS virus into billions of variants. And using phages as well, Glanvilles group created a still larger library of antibodies that might work. The researchers then sorted through what Glanville calls this vast mutational space for antibodies predicted to bind to SARS-CoV-2 spike, identify 50 leads they are testing in vitro. They soon hope to select the best 13 candidates.

Glanville says the aim is to find antibodies that can potently neutralize a broad range of coronaviruses. The exercise here is to approve one drug that will protect us from this current outbreak but also will enable us to have a tool at our disposal immediately when the next coronavirus outbreak takes place. That way, he says, We dont have to play this game every time.

With so many COVID-19 monoclonals being developed, How do you know what is really best and why? Saphire asks. The Coronavirus Immunotherapy Consortium she leads, funded by $1.7 million from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, is organizing a large-scale, blinded, side-by-side evaluation of candidate monoclonals in test tube studies that gauge their ability to thwart SARS-CoV-2 infection of human cells. The consortium also plans to compare lead candidates in animal models, but needs funding for that costly endeavor.

A doctor in northern Italy who recovered from COVID-19 and has, like Dr. X, contributed his own plasma to AstraZenecas antibody hunt, stresses that its far from a given that monoclonals will work. We dont know the role of neutralizing antibodies in this disease, says the doctor, who asked not to be named because of his hospitals concerns about publicity. He is also personally familiar with the cost and scarcity of existing monoclonal drugs: His hospital has already had difficulty obtaining immune-calming monoclonals for COVID-19 patients who were having dangerously strong immune reactions to the virus.

An effective COVID-19 vaccine could, in the long run, do away with the global need for SARS-CoV-2 monoclonal antibodies. But Pangalos says that prospect doesnt concern his company. That would be fantastic, he says, stressing that AstraZeneca didnt start this project for strictly business reasons. Its important for one of us to solve this pandemic so that we can all get back to some semblance of normality.

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The race is on for antibodies that stop the new coronavirus - Science Magazine

Rashes, headaches, tingling: the less common coronavirus symptoms that patients have – The Guardian

May 7, 2020

The World Health Organization lists the most common symptoms of Covid-19 as fever, tiredness and a dry cough. Others include a runny nose, sore throat, nasal congestion, pain, diarrhoea and the loss of sense of taste and/or smell. But there are also other more unusual symptoms that patients have presented.

Patients in several countries have reported rashes on their toes, resembling chilblains, in many cases unaccompanied by any of the usual symptoms of the virus. The condition has been dubbed Covid toe. The rashes can take the form of red or purple lesions and, despite the name, can be found on the side or sole of the foot, or even on hands and fingers. The European Journal of Pediatric Dermatology reported an epidemic of cases among children and adolescents in Italy. It said that unlike other rashes associated with coronavirus, it had not been previously observed.

Conjunctivitis has been a rare symptom in cases of Covid-19, with viral particles being found in tears. In the UK, the Royal College of Ophthalmologists and College of Optometrists says: It is recognised that any upper respiratory tract infection may result in viral conjunctivitis as a secondary complication, and this is also the case with Covid-19. However, it is unlikely that a person would present with viral conjunctivitis secondary to Covid-19 without other symptoms of fever or a continuous cough as conjunctivitis seems to be a late feature where is has occurred.

A peer-reviewed Spanish study, published in the British Journal of Dermatology last week, found that 6% of the 375 coronavirus cases examined involved livedo, the death of body tissue due to a lack of blood supply, or livedo, discolouration of the skin. The skin can become mottled and have purple or red patchy areas, which may appear in a lace-like pattern. In the study, it was generally found in older patients with more severe cases of Covid-19. However, this was not consistent across the board and necrosis was also found in some people with coronavirus who did not require hospitalisation.

A study of 214 patients in China, published in Jama Neurology last month, found that just over a third (36.4%) had experienced neurological symptoms such as dizziness or headaches, increasing to 45.5% in those with severe coronavirus infections. Commenting on the research, Prof Ian Jones, professor of virology at the University of Reading, said: It happens, but is generally not what coronaviruses do. At the moment neurological complications might best be considered a consequence of Covid-19 disease severity rather than a distinct new concern.

Some patients have complained about a tingling, fizzing or even burning sensation. Dr Waleed Javaid, the director of infection prevention and control at Mount Sinai hospital in New York, told Today.com it was likely the patients immune response to Covid-19 rather than the virus itself was causing such sensations. He said: Theres a widespread immune response that is happening. Our immune cells get activated so a lot of chemicals get released throughout our body and that can present or feel like theres some fizzing. When our immune response is acting up, people can feel different sensations I have heard of similar experiences in the past with other illnesses.

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Rashes, headaches, tingling: the less common coronavirus symptoms that patients have - The Guardian

Dental Hygienist Worries If People Will Get Teeth Cleaned For Fear Of Coronavirus – NPR

May 7, 2020

The dental practice where Candace Grenier has worked for two decades shut down in mid-March. That's just before her son, Ryeder, lost his job at an auto body shop. Seth Franklin hide caption

The dental practice where Candace Grenier has worked for two decades shut down in mid-March. That's just before her son, Ryeder, lost his job at an auto body shop.

"Let's see it's not that bad; 37 degrees," Candace Grenier says, reading the thermometer outside a window of her Anchorage home.

When the temperature gets above freezing, it's a good day. Not just because it feels better, but it's also good for the electric bill and because Grenier can no longer justify paying $50 to $70 to get her driveway plowed.

The dental practice where she has worked for two decades shut down in mid-March, just before her son, Ryeder, also lost his job at an auto body shop.

She had hoped to use accumulated sick leave and paid time off to cover some of her expenses, but the dental office couldn't afford to pay that out. Unemployment benefits took time to process, she says, because there have been so many layoffs.

Even when things reopen, Grenier worries people will forgo dental cleanings as they worry about getting the coronavirus by visiting a dental office. "People may decide that, 'Hey, I'm not going to take that risk,' " she says.

To make the most of her savings, she's cut all luxuries and is waiting to see if she needs to delay her mortgage payment. She traded her specialty coffee beans for a bulk Costco version. She also looks forward to getting her hair dyed when she can get back to work. "I'm 53, so there are definitely roots showing."

Read more stories in Faces Of The Coronavirus Recession.

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Dental Hygienist Worries If People Will Get Teeth Cleaned For Fear Of Coronavirus - NPR

UK overtakes Italy to record highest coronavirus death toll anywhere in Europe – CNN

May 7, 2020

Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said Tuesday that 29,427 people have died with Covid-19 since the outbreak began, more than in Italy and lower only than the United States. The official figure includes 693 new deaths in the most recent 24-hour period, up to 5 p.m. (12 p.m. ET) Monday.

International comparisons are not flawless because countries count deaths in different ways and with varying levels of accuracy.

Raab said at the daily UK government press briefing that a "real verdict on how countries have done" will not be fully available until after the pandemic is over.

But Italy and Spain -- previously considered Europe's two hardest-hit countries -- are also significantly further along in their outbreaks than the UK and are already tentatively lifting some lockdown restrictions.

The development comes just days before Johnson is due to address the country on Sunday.

Johnson is expected to announce the nation's next steps, with widespread reports in the UK media this week of how the country will ease its lockdown measures.

"It's now clear that the second phase will be different. We will need to adjust to a new normal," Raab said on Tuesday.

"We want to make sure that the next phase is more comfortable, is more sustainable," he added. "But we need to be under no illusions, the next stage won't be easy."

But even the most recent government figures only tell a partial story. More data, released earlier on Tuesday, indicated that the true number of deaths by late April far exceeded that which was reported daily by ministers.

England's Office of National Statistics (ONS) said there were 29,998 deaths in which Covid-19 was mentioned on the death certificate in the period ending on April 24, or two days later in Scotland. That includes suspected coronavirus-related deaths in all settings, including care homes.

Its figure far exceeds the death toll of 20,732 announced by the government at the same point. At the time, the government did not include patients who died from Covid-19 outside of hospitals.

The UK government last week started including data on deaths outside hospitals in cases where people had tested positive for Covid-19. Previously, the UK-wide figures were only for hospital deaths.

It did claim to reach its own target of conducting 100,000 tests a day by the end of April, but only for two days and with the help of thousands of tests that were mailed out to households but not completed. The number of tests carried out daily subsequently dropped to 84,000 on Monday and 85,000 the day before.

Read more:

UK overtakes Italy to record highest coronavirus death toll anywhere in Europe - CNN

Illinois Announces It Will Reopen In Phases As It Battles The Coronavirus : Coronavirus Live Updates – NPR

May 7, 2020

A man rides his bicycle in Gurnee, Ill., this past weekend. Officials say safe practices against the coronavirus need to continue if the state is to be successful with its phased reopening plan. Nam Y. Huh/AP hide caption

A man rides his bicycle in Gurnee, Ill., this past weekend. Officials say safe practices against the coronavirus need to continue if the state is to be successful with its phased reopening plan.

Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker announced Tuesday his five-phase reopening plan, while the state saw its highest daily death toll from COVID-19.

Over the previous 24 hours, 176 residents died, said Illinois Public Health Director Ngozi Ezike, who joined the governor at his daily briefing. That brings the number of deaths in the state to more than 3,800.

Ezike said the situation could have been even more dire if the governor hadn't extended his stay-at-home executive order to May 29. She also credited residents paying heed to social distancing, wearing face masks and finding other, safer ways to connect with each other. But the threat continues.

"The truth is we are still in a significant war with an enemy," she said, adding that because the coronavirus can't be seen, some may underestimate it.

"If this was a traditional war with soldiers outside of our doors and people risking their lives to be outside of their homes," Ezike said, "no one would think about the need to go to work or get their dog groomed or their car washed."

Finding a way back to normalcy will take time, said Pritzker, adding that that can't happen until there's a vaccine, an effective treatment or widespread immunity.

Pritzker outlined his plan for slowly reopening the state, called "Restore Illinois." It divides the state into four regions, acknowledging that each section may have distinct needs and conditions. That means the areas could move through the five phases at different times if health data for that region show declines in coronavirus cases and hospitalizations.

Most of the state is already in the first two phases, with the initial shutdown of all but essential businesses and social distancing guidelines. Because the overall rate of infection is slowing, that has allowed Phase 2 to kick in. Some nonessential retail outlets can reopen, offering curbside pickup and delivery. Residents also are directed to wear face masks when outside.

Phase 3 will allow more outlets, including barbershops and salons, to reopen under certain capacity and safety limits, with groups of 10 people or fewer being able to meet.

As hospitalizations and cases continue to decline, Phase 4 kicks in. Schools, restaurants and day care centers can open with guidance from the state's health department and gatherings of 50 or fewer will be allowed.

Until there's a vaccine or widespread treatment though, Illinois will not reach Stage 5 a full resumption of its economy.

Pritzker said it brings him no joy, but that means no conventions, festivals or large events for now. He says he won't risk overwhelming the state's hospital system and opening the door to potentially tens of thousands more deaths.

As scientists learn more about COVID-19, the plan could also change, he said.

See more here:

Illinois Announces It Will Reopen In Phases As It Battles The Coronavirus : Coronavirus Live Updates - NPR

What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? – The New York Times

May 7, 2020

As the coronavirus pandemic cuts through the country, it is leaving behind large numbers of deaths that surpass those of recent history. A New York Times analysis of state data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows just how many lives are being lost in the pandemic in each place as the virus kills some people directly, and other lives are lost to an overwhelmed health care system and fears about using it.

Our analysis examines deaths from all causes, beginning in mid-March when the virus took hold in the country, and examines every state with reliable data. The death count so far is not uniform around the nation. Some places have seen staggering death tolls, while others have seen smaller aberrations from historic patterns. In some states, the number of deaths so far looks roughly in line with those in a typical year, suggesting that the virus and its effects throughout medicine and society have not yet had a major impact on survival.

New York City, long the epicenter of the U.S. outbreak, has experienced the most extreme increase in deaths, which surged to six times the usual number. Altogether, since mid-March deaths there are 23,000 higher than normal.

Note: The weekly allocation of deaths in New York City since March 15, 2020, is an approximation based on how mortality data has lagged in previous weeks this year.

All of these numbers are likely to be a substantial undercount of the ultimate death toll, since death counting takes time and many states are weeks or months behind in reporting.

But comparing recent totals of deaths from all causes can provide a more complete picture of the pandemics impact than tracking only deaths of people with confirmed diagnoses. Indeed, in nearly every state with an unusual number of deaths in recent weeks, that number is higher than the states reported number of deaths from Covid-19. Epidemiologists refer to fatalities in that gap between the observed and normal numbers of deaths as excess deaths.

Measuring excess deaths is crude because it does not capture all the details of how people died. But many epidemiologists believe it is the best way to measure the impact of the virus in real time. It shows how the virus is altering normal patterns of mortality where it strikes and undermines arguments that it is merely killing vulnerable people who would have died anyway.

Our charts show weekly deaths above or below normal in each state through the most recent week, with data the C.D.C. estimates to be at least 90 percent complete. Those determinations are based on states speed at reporting deaths in the past, and they mean that these state charts show death trends for slightly different time periods.

We supplemented the C.D.C. data with any coronavirus deaths that have been reported by The Times that have not yet been added to the C.D.C. database. Those totals were compared with a simple model of expected deaths based on the number of deaths in the past five years, adjusted to account for trends over time, like population changes. Public health researchers use such methods to measure the impact of catastrophic events when official measures of mortality are flawed.

Measuring excess deaths does not tell us precisely how each person died. It is likely that most of the excess deaths in this period are because of the coronavirus itself, given the dangerousness of the virus and the well-documented problems with testing. But it is also possible that deaths from other causes have risen too, as hospitals have become stressed and people have been scared to seek care for ailments that are typically survivable. Some causes of death may be declining, as people stay inside more, drive less and limit their contact with others.

Even in a normal year, it takes up to eight weeks for full death counts to be reported by the C.D.C. But this is not a normal year, and it is possible that because of the unusual number of recent deaths and the stresses they are placing on medical examiners and public health officials, the totals will take even longer than usual to become complete. We will keep updating the numbers regularly as new data becomes available.

In a larger group of states, the increases in deaths were more modest during the early phase of the pandemic, but deaths are still higher than normal.

There are still some states that appear to have been largely spared from an unusual number of deaths during this period. In those places, the patterns of death look roughly similar to those in recent years. A few states in this category have seen their fortunes worsen in recent weeks, and they may begin showing excess deaths as more weeks of complete data are reported.

In some of these states, deaths are actually below the normal trend. That may be because of data reporting lags. But it could be because of the pandemic, too: Stay-at-home orders may be lowering death rates from car accidents in some places, or flu in others.

In nearly every state with more deaths than normal, the total number of them exceeded the official number of measured Covid-19 deaths. Given the limitations on coronavirus testing in the United States, this gap is not a big surprise. Similar gaps have been found in other countries with high numbers of Covid-19 deaths.

Our analysis aims to show mortality statistics for as much of the country as possible, but there are some places that are so far behind in submitting death certificates to the C.D.C. that comparing their reported totals to historical trends would not show much. In Connecticut, for example, zero deaths have been reported to the federal government at all since February 1.

Several other states and Puerto Rico have less extreme data lags, but are far enough behind that the C.D.C. does not recommend relying on their recent death reporting. In Pennsylvania and Ohio, death reporting seems to be lagging far behind the normal rate all year, according to the C.D.C., even though their reporting is usually more timely, so we have omitted data from them as well. The complete list of missing places is: Alaska, Connecticut, Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Virginia and West Virginia.

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What Is the Real Coronavirus Toll in Each State? - The New York Times

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