Measles has exploded in Europe. Clinicians say it’s only a matter of time before outbreaks hit Canada – CBC.ca
                            February 5, 2024
                                Health Second    Opinion  
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        Lauren Pelley, Amina Zafar - CBC News      
    Posted: February 03, 2024    Last Updated: February 03, 2024  
    This story is part of CBC Health's Second Opinion,    a weeklyanalysis of health and medical science news    emailed to subscribers on Saturday mornings. If you haven't    subscribed yet, you can do that by clicking    here .  
    After an explosion of measles cases in Europe, medical experts    say it's just a "question of time" before outbreaks happen in    Canada, thanks to high rates of global travel and low rates of    vaccinations.  
    There were 42,200 measles cases across more than 40 European    countries last year,the World Health Organization    (WHO) announced this week  a more than 40-fold    increase from 2022, which saw fewer than 1,000 cases. In    December, the organization said there hadbeen     more than 20,000 hospitalizations and at least five    deaths in the European region.  
    Globally, the situation is even grimmer, with a spike in    infections in 2022 that included nine million known cases and    136,000 reported deaths, mostly among children.  
    The WHO said the rise in cases in Europe has accelerated in    recent months, and the upward trend is expected to continue if    urgent measures  like vaccination efforts  aren't taken to    prevent further spread of this potentially deadly infection.  
    "It's not something that is mild," said Dr. Kate O'Brien, a    Canadian pediatric infectious diseases specialist    anddirector of the WHO's department of vaccines and    immunization. "And it's not something to be taken lightly."  
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    Canada eliminated measles back in 1998 through widespread    vaccination programs.  
    Here, the vaccine is given to children as two doses of a combined shot that    also protects against a combination of infections either    measles, mumpsand rubella, or measles, mumps,    rubellaand varicella.  
    The annual case count remains small  only a dozen confirmed    infections were reported country-wide in 2023  and most cases    are now acquired through travel outside the country.  
    But clinicians say outbreaks are still a risk. Canada, like    many other countries, hasn't hit the 95 per cent vaccination    coverage required to prevent its spread.  
    "Measles is probably the most infectious human virus that is    known, and as a result, in order to prevent measles infections,    vaccination rates have to be really high in a community," said    O'Brien.  
    "What's happened is, over the course of the pandemic, we've had    a historic backsliding in the immunization rates around the    world."  
    In Europe, the level of coverage with two doses of the measles    vaccine dropped from 92 per cent in 2019 to 91 per cent by    2022,     WHO data shows. Nearly two million infants also    missed their measles vaccination in the first two years of the    pandemic.  
    That means children are particularly at risk, clinicians say.    Measles spreads easily through the air, leads to high    hospitalization rates, and can cause a hacking cough, high    feverand a prominent rash. In more serious cases, it    leads to pneumonia, brain damage,     and death in up to three out of every 1,000 children    infected.  
    Infections can have wide-ranging and sometimes lifelong    consequences, including blindness, deafness, or immune system impactsthat leave    people vulnerable to other infections.  
    In the U.K., where there have been hundreds of cases in recent    months, including 127 reported infections in January alone,    health officials also point the finger at "falling" vaccination    coverage. One in 10 childrenstart school in    England without protection.  
    That's similar to Canada. Federal data from 2021 shows that    79 per cent of children had two doses of    measles, mumps, and rubella vaccine by their seventh birthday,    down from 83 per cent in 2019 and 87 per cent in 2017.  
    That suggests close to two in 10 children hadn't yet had their    full set of shots  far from Canada's target of 95 per cent    coverage for that age group.  
    "Right now we're underneath the level of immunization that we    need to prevent onward transmission in Canada," said pediatric    infectious diseases specialist Dr. Charles Hui, who works with    CHEO and the University of Ottawa.  
    Another study on population immunity in Ontario, published in 2019, found nearly    eight per cent of blood samples had antibody levels below the    threshold needed to ward off a measles infection. This    suggested that immunity in some age groups may be waning    "despite high vaccine coverage."  
    And clinicians warn the situation is getting worse.  
    During the pandemic, when doctors' offices were shut and public    health units were tied up with COVID-19 screening and testing,    routine immunization rates to protect infants and children from    serious infections like measles plummeted across Canada.  
    "I think the answer is really trying to do everything we can to    optimize vaccination delivery and catch up all those people who    missed vaccinations during that pandemic, 'cause there are a    lot of them," said Dr. JeffreyPernica, division head of    infectious diseases at McMaster Children's Hospital.  
    "Most of these are people who would get their kids vaccinated    if they had the time and means to do so."  
    But measles is exceptionally contagious.  
    "Normally we think that, as long as somebody doesn't cough in    our face orshake our hand with their, you know,    snotty hand, we will be OK, right?" Pernica said. "That    issort of the rule for most respiratory viruses."  
    The contagiousnature of measles means that if an    infectedperson walks into a store and another person who    isn't vaccinated comes in     two hours later, they can still catch it.  
    Research suggests that one person with measles can spread it to    an average of 12 to 18 others.  
    "It will be really critical for governments to provide the    resources for public health and to primary care, to really do    all they can to catch up all of those who have missed    vaccinations, and to encourage vaccinations among those who    have not yet decided to receive them," he said.  
    The WHO's O'Brien also stressed the safety and effectiveness of    measles vaccines, which are roughly 97    per cent effective. "Over the past 20 years, we    estimate that over 56 million deaths have been averted as a    result of measles vaccination around the world," she said.  
    Global travel remains a key concern for clinicians. In recent    weeks, multiple Canadian public health alerts have been issued    about possible travel-related exposures.  
    One confirmed case in a Saskatoon    resident, who was infected through international    travel, may have exposed others in various stores, a university    campusand a hospital emergency room. Meanwhile, a    confirmed case in the Windsor, Ont., area was linked to    possible exposures at Toronto's bustling    Pearson International Airport.  
    "The 12 cases last year from Canada were all imported cases and    that is concerning in and of itself," Hui said. "But the    concern would be if we import cases, and they come into contact    with people who don't have immunity, then we have transmission    within Canada."  
    He added it's likely "just a question of time" before cases    linked to travel abroad end up sparking an outbreak.  
    Dr. Shelly Bolotin, director of the Centre for Vaccine    Preventable Diseases, urged families heading out of the country    for spring break to plan ahead, even if they're heading to    places without outbreaks of measles or other    vaccine-preventable infections.  
    "We can also get exposed at an airport," said Bolotin, an    associate professor at the University of Toronto's Dalla Lana    School of Public Health.  
    Normally, infants receive their first dose of measles vaccine    at 12 months. But if achild is six months or older    andgoing to a place where measles is circulating    extensively, parents should discuss early immunization, she    said.  
    Canada's federal government has an ongoing global measles notice for    travellers, noting outbreaks are "occurring in every    region of the world," leaving anyone unprotected at risk of    being infected when travelling.  
    "That's why it's so important that every individual is    protected against measles," said O'Brien."Because you    don't know where that exposure is going to come from."  
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Measles has exploded in Europe. Clinicians say it's only a matter of time before outbreaks hit Canada - CBC.ca